Area Forecast Discussion -  

000
FXUS64 KLZK 041130 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
530 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

.AVIATION...
PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST...RAINFALL HAS CONTINUED...THOUGH HEAVIER PRECIP WILL
TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING. KEPT A MENTION OF PREVAILING VCSH IN
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY...AS THE FRONT WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH...AND AN UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. 

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AS NORTHWEST
WINDS INCREASE...AND CEILINGS GRADUALLY LIFT. HOWEVER...STRATOCU
WILL REMAIN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT.
TAFS ALREADY OUT. 
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012/ 

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT 

A MAINLY DRY AND SEASONAL STRETCH IS ON TAP ONCE WE GET THROUGH 
TODAY/S RAINFALL. 

TODAY...
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SAG SE 
THROUGH THE STATE THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT THAT IS PUSHING THE 
SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH WILL BE SLOW TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE STATE 
AND THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME REDVELOPMENT RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT SO 
HAVE SLOWED EXIT TIMING OF PRECIP A BIT. SVR WX IS NOT EXPECTED 
TODAY. SOME DRIZZLE WILL BE NOTED BEHIND THE MAIN RAIN BAND BUT FOR 
THE MOST PART...ONCE IT STOPS RAINING AT A LOCATION IT WILL BE DONE 
FOR THE DAY. HAVE UNDERCUT MOS HIGH TEMPS SUBSTANTIALLY TODAY IN THE 
SE CWA WITH THE CLOUDS AND RAIN.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN WITH SEASONAL TEMPS AND PARTLY CLOUDY 
SKIES DURING THIS PD. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL LIKELY FLIRT WITH FREEZING 
OVER MUCH OF THE STATE SUN NIGHT AND MON NIGHT. A FAIRLY STRONG 
SHRTWV WILL CROSS THE STATE TUE NIGHT BUT LACK GULF RETURN MSTR. 
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE WAVE AND ABILITY FOR STRONGER 
SHRTWVS TO SQUEEZE OUT PRECIP OVER AR...HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHC 
POPS FOR TUE NIGHT. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT IF PRECIP 
OCCURS...A FEW FLAKES COULD MIX IN OVER NRN AR TUE NIGHT.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANY LINGERING PRECIP WILL BE COMING TO AN END DURING THE DAY 
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION...WITH DRY 
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. DUE TO NORTHERLY/
NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW...TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY TOLERABLE...
WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 20S AND 30S...AND HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S. 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57